Arsenal are 1.29 shots to win their derby game against QPR at the Emirates and they really should prove too strong for the Hoops.
The Gunners come into the game on the back of a disappointing 1-1 draw against Wolves but they have still picked up 26 points from their last 12 games and that ratio, over the course of an entire campaign, would have been enough to win them the title last season.
By stark contrast their opponents have mustered just 10 points from a possible 39, and that’s clear relegation form given that they have also taken just two pints from their last six games.
It really should be a comfortable win for Arsenal on paper, but their are a couple of worrying factors that need to be taken into consideration.
Firstly, Arsene Wenger must decide whether to rest Robin van Persie, who is two shy of equalling the Premier League record for goals, as his fitness is the key to them keeping up their challenge for a top four place,
Secondly, the Gunners are currently suffering from a number of defensive injuries and have been really struggling to maintain a clean sheet.
However I still think they will prove too strong in this and it will be a surprise to me if Wenger does not give van Persie a start and a chance to equal or beat Alan Shearer’s record.
The Dutchman will surely wan t to give it his best shot, and not surprisingly he tops the betting in the first goalscorer market once again.
He is a top priced 3.25 with bet365 and Betfred to net the opener, and for a man on a mission that looks a good price,
Gervinho, who scored against Wolves, is always worth a second glance in the same market and could be worth a small saver at the 6.5 on offer with Betfred.
One worrying stat is that Arsenal have only managed to score more than one goal four times in their last 15 games at home.
Given their current defensive problems, and the fact that QPR have managed to net against the likes of Chelsea, Man City and Spurs they are likely to need to net at least twice to win this.
That makes a 2-1 victory for Arsenal look tempting in the correct score market at the 9 on offer with Betfred.
Similarly, both teams to score also looks worth a punt at 2.1 with Betfred, Boylesports and Paddy Power.