Arsenal take on table toppers Man City at the Etihad Stadium this weekend, and bookmakers Betfred, Boylesports and Paddy Power look to have underestimated their chances by offering a tasty 5.5 about them causing a bit of an upset.
That really does look a massive price for the Gunners who have been in terrific form in recent weeks and currently sit in fifth place – just nine points behind the league leaders.
Chelsea proved on Monday when coming from one down to beat City 2-1 that Roberto Mancini’s men are far from invincible, and Arsene Wenger will have taken plenty of encouragement from that result.
The stats certainly give Arsenal a better chance than what the bookies think, as City have lost at home to the Gunners 10 times in the Premier League and 20 times in all competitions.
The home side also really struggled in last month’s Carling Cup clash between the two sides, winning 1-0 with their only shot on target.
I really do think Arsenal are capable of serving it up to the City slickers, especially given the goal scoring exploits of Robin van Persie.
The Dutchman has simply proved just too hot to handle this season and has now netted 33 goals in 32 Premier League games in 2011.
He has also scored an incredible 18 goals in his last 16 PL away appearances, so at 7 with Boylesports to net the opener has to be worth a punt.
Another good bet, which has served us well so far this season, is for him to score anytime during the 90 minutes. Boylesports go a standout 3 and that looks incredible value (some firms go just 2.25!).
When it comes to the correct score market I like the look of a 2-1 win for Arsenal as it’s hard to see City not netting. That outcome can be backed at a whopping 19 with Betfred and Boylesports and will do for me.